Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000139 0.000154 0.000170 0.000188 0.000209 0.000231 0.000257
2025-04-20 0.000111 0.000132 0.000157 0.000188 0.000226 0.000271 0.000330
2025-04-27 0.000096 0.000120 0.000151 0.000192 0.000245 0.000314 0.000409
2025-05-04 0.000083 0.000109 0.000143 0.000191 0.000257 0.000346 0.000478
2025-05-11 0.000075 0.000102 0.000139 0.000192 0.000271 0.000382 0.000557
2025-05-18 0.000068 0.000095 0.000133 0.000191 0.000279 0.000411 0.000628
2025-05-25 0.000061 0.000089 0.000128 0.000190 0.000287 0.000439 0.000700
2025-06-01 0.000056 0.000083 0.000122 0.000187 0.000292 0.000462 0.000768
2025-06-08 0.000050 0.000076 0.000115 0.000181 0.000291 0.000474 0.000818
2025-06-15 0.000048 0.000073 0.000113 0.000183 0.000303 0.000511 0.000916
2025-06-22 0.000045 0.000071 0.000113 0.000186 0.000318 0.000554 0.001031
2025-06-29 0.000041 0.000066 0.000107 0.000181 0.000316 0.000566 0.001088
2025-07-06 0.000037 0.000061 0.000099 0.000171 0.000307 0.000565 0.001122
2025-07-13 0.000035 0.000058 0.000097 0.000172 0.000317 0.000601 0.001242
2025-07-20 0.000033 0.000056 0.000097 0.000175 0.000332 0.000651 0.001402
2025-07-27 0.000031 0.000054 0.000094 0.000174 0.000340 0.000686 0.001532
2025-08-03 0.000030 0.000052 0.000093 0.000176 0.000352 0.000732 0.001700
2025-08-10 0.000028 0.000050 0.000090 0.000175 0.000358 0.000766 0.001842
2025-08-17 0.000026 0.000048 0.000088 0.000173 0.000363 0.000799 0.001989
2025-08-24 0.000025 0.000046 0.000085 0.000171 0.000366 0.000827 0.002128
2025-08-31 0.000023 0.000043 0.000081 0.000165 0.000361 0.000833 0.002208
2025-09-07 0.000022 0.000042 0.000080 0.000167 0.000374 0.000887 0.002438
2025-09-14 0.000022 0.000041 0.000080 0.000171 0.000390 0.000952 0.002715